New Hampshire results “signal a revolution in both parties” -analyst

New Hampshire results “signify a revolution in both parties” and could mean a long nominating process ahead, U.S. election analyst says.

CONCORD, NEW HAMPSHIRE, UNITED STATES (FEBRUARY 9, 2016) (RESTRICTED POOL) – Riding a wave of voter anger at traditional politicians, billionaire Donald Trump on Tuesday (February 9) won New Hampshire’s Republican presidential nominating contest and U.S. Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont won the Democratic primary.

Disenchanted with the economy and Washington politicians, voters in the first two U.S. primary voting races have responded enthusiastically to candidates for the Nov. 8 presidential election they view as outsiders.:

“The results signal a revolution in both parties. A big one and they also probably signal that this will be a long nomination race not over quickly,” Senior Fellow in Governance Studies at Brookings Institution, Elaine Kamarck said.

In a somber speech, New Jersey Governor Chris Christie said he would weigh his next steps in the campaign, depending on final results in the Republican race that appeared to show him far behind. U.S. media reported that Christie is expected to end his bid for the Republican presidential nomination but a Christie spokesman said the candidate had not made up his mind.

“I think that Christie just thought that he was also a plain talking forthright conservative and I think that he just got you know beaten out by Trump together,” Kamarck said.

Trump’s win solidifies his front-runner status in the race to be the party’s White House nominee. The former reality television star has been cheered by his supporters for comments that others have derided as politically incorrect.

Trump, 69, has campaigned to deport illegal immigrants and temporarily ban Muslims from entering the United States.

Trump was in first place with 34 percent of the vote. Ohio Governor John Kasich, aged 63, who staked the viability of his campaign on the New Hampshire outcome, was in second place with 16 percent, CNN said, based on an estimated 67 percent of returns.

“What Kasich has going for him and which I think we saw last night is that Kasich is not trying to be Donald Trump. He’s not trying to be angry. Kasich is running a different kind of campaign. And in a year when the voters really value authenticity I think that’s what Kasich is bringing,” Kamarck said.

A logjam of Republican candidates were in a dead heat for third place. U.S. Senator Ted Cruz of Texas, who won the Iowa caucus last week, had 12 percent; former Florida Governor Jeb Bush, the son and brother of former presidents, had 11 percent, and U.S. Senator Marco Rubio of Florida had 10 percent.

Christie, who had counted on a strong showing in New Hampshire, was next with 8 percent followed by former businesswoman Carly Fiorina with 4 percent and retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson with 2 percent.

On the Democratic side Hillary Clinton lost a critical nominating contest to a 74-year-old man in part because women preferred him.

NBC News exit polls showed Clinton, a former secretary of state, U.S. senator and first lady, won 44 percent of the women’s vote in Tuesday’s New Hampshire primary to 55 percent for her Democratic Party rival, U.S. Senator Bernie Sanders.

“I think Sanders must feel great today because not only was the victory big but Sanders won women and I think that was unexpected We kind of saw it coming but I think that nobody really expected Sanders to be strong among women as he was,” Kamarack said.

Young women contributed significantly to Clinton’s loss, and the candidate acknowledged that she struggled with young voters.

With women over 45, Clinton prevailed with 56 percent of the vote, ABC News exit polls found, but Sanders won 69 percent among women under 45. Among women under 30, Sanders won a staggering 82 percent.

Unlike Barack Obama, who played down his African-American roots when elected the first black president eight years ago, in this election cycle Clinton, 68, has emphasized the breakthrough a Nov. 8 victory would represent for women.

At nearly every campaign stop in New Hampshire, Clinton or a supporter emphasized the role she could play as the first woman in the White House while Sanders galvanized young people with his promise to fix an economy he said was rigged in favor of the wealthy.

With the next nominating contests in Nevada and South Carolina, Clinton will seek to get her campaign back on track with her strength with minority voters.

“I think that Hillary is going into two states Nevada with a large Latino population and a large union population and South Carolina with a large African-American population where she will be very strong and very competitive she can, she can, she has the possibility to flip this race in the coming days,” Kamarck said.

In South Carolina, Republican vote Saturday February 20 and Democrats head to the ballot box the following Saturday February 27. In Nevada , the Democrats vote on February 20 while the Republicans weight in on Tuesday February 23.

Associated Links

  • CNN
  • NBCUniv Media
  • New England
  • New Hampshire
  • Elections in the United States
  • United States presidential primaries
  • Caucus

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